How Far from Genocide? The Semiotic Construction of African Foreign Nationals as Existential Threats in South Africa
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18326/jopr.v8i3.934-971Keywords:
Dangerous speech, African foreign nationals, Genocide, Anti-migrant discourseAbstract
South Africa has experienced recurrent violence against African foreign nationals for more than three decades, while organized anti-migrant movements since 2021 have shifted hostile rhetoric from the political margins to the center of public discourse. This study argues that the language used to describe African foreign nationals constitutes dangerous speech that constructs them as existential threats and creates conditions conducive to collective violence. Drawing on Susan Benesch’s Dangerous Speech Framework (DSF), Saussurean syntagmatic and associative meaning relations, and George Stanton’s staged model of genocide, the study pursues three objectives: to identify the discursive construction of African foreign nationals as existential threats; to determine the prevalence of the five dangerous-speech hallmarks; and to assess South Africa’s position on Stanton’s genocide continuum. The corpus comprises 2,324 social media posts from X and Facebook, together with 214 YouTube news segments relating to the activities of Operation Dudula, the March and March movement, and the MK Party between 2021 and 2026. The findings reveal the presence of all five dangerous-speech hallmarks, with dehumanization emerging as the most frequent (60.8%) and threats to women and children the least frequent (27.6%). These patterns are realized through identifiable linguistic mechanisms, including derogatory labels, metaphors of disease and infestation, criminality modifiers, and expulsive imperatives. The study introduces the Dangerous Speech–Genocide Escalation (DSGE) model, which integrates linguistic analysis with the DSF and Stanton’s framework. Applied to South Africa, the model indicates that the country is not experiencing genocide but has progressed significantly along the pre-genocidal pathway, highlighting the urgent need for preventative intervention.
References
Adonis, C.K. (2025). “The crown without the jewels”: South Africa’s flawed transition and its implications for social justice and equity in post-apartheid South Africa. Memory Studies, 18(6), 1617-1639.
African Commission on Human and Peoples’ Rights. (2022). Press statement on the extra-judicial killing of Elvis Nyathi and other systematic attacks against immigrant Africans living in South Africa. Banjul: ACHPR. https://achpr.au.int/en/news/press-releases/2022-04-08/press-statement-extra-judicial-killing-elvis-nyathi-and-other
Barthes, R. (1972). Mythologies. Hill and Wang.
Benesch, S. (2013). Dangerous speech: A proposal to prevent group violence. Dangerous Speech Project.
Braun, V., & Clarke, V. (2006). Using thematic analysis in psychology, Qualitative Research in Psychology, 3(2), 77–101.
Braun, V., & Clarke, V. (2021). One size fits all? What counts as quality practice in (reflexive) thematic analysis? Qualitative Research in Psychology, 18(3), 328–352.
Buerger, C., & Benesch, S. (2019). Dangerous speech as an atrocity early-warning indicator, Genocide Studies and Prevention, 13(3).
Centre for Human Rights. (2022). Press statement: condemnation of xenophobic attacks and the killing of Elvis Nyathi. https://www.chr.up.ac.za
Chandler, D. (2017). Semiotics: the basics (3rd ed.). Routledge.
Cinini, S.F., & Mkhize, S. (2021). An exploration of the safety and security experiences of African foreign nationals in Durban, South Africa, Journal of African Foreign Affairs, 8(3), 27-47.
Crush, J. (2008). The perfect storm: the realities of xenophobia in contemporary South Africa. Southern African Migration Project.
Daily Maverick. (2022, April 18). Posts about the death of Elvis Nyathi stoke the flames of xenophobia, Daily Maverick. https://www.dailymaverick.co.za
Daily Maverick. (2026, June 25). Xenophobic unrest — a crisis co-written by March and March and SA’s political class. Daily Maverick. https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2026-06-25-xenophobic-unrest-a-crisis-co-written-by-march-and-march-and-sas-political-class/
Dangerous Speech Project. (2023). What is dangerous speech? https://www.dangerousspeech.org/dangerous-speech
Fairclough, N. (2013). Critical discourse analysis: the critical study of language (2nd ed.). Routledge.
Gordon, S.L. (2022). Immigration policy in South Africa: public opinion, xenophobia and the search for progress. In P. Rugunanan and N. Xulu-Gama (Eds.), Migration in Southern Africa (pp. 57-76). Springer.
Gordon, S.L. (2024). The “Coronavirus crisis” and xenophobia in South Africa: how did the pandemic affect anti-immigrant sentiment? International Migration, 62(4). 37-52.
Harff, B. (2003). No lessons learned from the Holocaust? Assessing risks of genocide and political mass murder since 1955. American Political Science Review, 97(1), 57–73.
Hayem, J. (2013). From May 2008 to 2011: xenophobic violence and national subjectivity in South Africa. Journal of Southern African Studies, 39(1), 77–97.
Human Rights Watch. (2024, May 6). South Africa: toxic rhetoric endangers migrants. https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/05/06/south-africa-toxic-rhetoric-endangers-migrants
Human Sciences Research Council. (2026). Going from bad to worse: a rise in anti-immigrant sentiment in South Africa. https://hsrc.ac.za
Kaziboni, A., Lancaster, L., Machabaphala, T. & Muladzi, G. (2022). Scapegoating in South Africa: busting the myths about immigrants. Institute for Security Studies.
Kopanang Africa Against Xenophobia and Others v Operation Dudula and Others (2025) ZAGPJHC 1102 (Gauteng Division, Johannesburg, 4 November). https://www.saflii.org/za/cases/ZAGPJHC/2025/1102.html
Krippendorff, K. (2018). Content analysis: an introduction to its methodology (4th ed). Sage.
Leader Maynard, J., & Benesch, S. (2016). Dangerous speech and dangerous ideology: an integrated model for monitoring and prevention. Genocide Studies and Prevention, 9(3), 70–95.
Lincoln, Y.S., & Guba, E.G. (1985). Naturalistic inquiry. Sage.
Matsinhe, D.M. (2011). Africa’s fear of itself: the ideology of makwerekwere in South Africa. Third World Quarterly, 32(2), 295–313.
Naicker, C. (2016). The languages of xenophobia in post-apartheid South Africa: reviewing migrancy, foreignness and solidarity. Agenda, 30(2), 46–60.
Nowell, L.S., Norris, J.M., White, D.E. & Moules, N.J. (2017). Thematic analysis: striving to meet the trustworthiness criteria, International Journal of Qualitative Methods, 16(1), 1–13.
Pollit, R. (2015, May 14). Op-Ed: Operation Fiela-where nothing’s sacred, not even a sanctuary. Daily Maverick. https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2015-05-14-op-ed-operation-fiela-where-nothings-sacred-not-even-a-sanctuary/#.VdXLa_n3a9f
Saussure, F. de. (1916/2011). Course in general linguistics. Columbia University Press.
Shah, K. (2022). Diagnosing South Africa’s high unemployment and low informality. Working papers – Center for International Development at Harvard University.
Sinclair, J. (1991). Corpus, concordance, collocation. Oxford University Press.
Smith, D.L. (2011). Less than human: why we demean, enslave, and exterminate others. St Martin’s Press.
Stanton, G.H. (2013). The ten stages of genocide. Genocide Watch. https://www.genocidewatch.com
Straus, S. (2016). Fundamentals of genocide and mass atrocity prevention. United States Holocaust Memorial Museum.
Van Dijk, T.A. (2016). Critical discourse studies: a sociocognitive approach. In R. Wodak and M. Meyer (Ed.), Methods of critical discourse studies (3rd Edn.) pp. 62–85. Sage.
Visage, J., & Castel-Branco, R. (2026). Blaming migrants ignores the real causes of South Africa’s economic crisis. SCIS News and Opinion Pieces. https://www.wits.ac.za/news/sources/scis-news-and-opinion-pieces/blaming-migrants-ignores-the-real-causes-of-south-africas-economic-crisis.html
Wodak, R., & Meyer, M. (Ed.). (2016). Methods of critical discourse studies (3rd Edn.) Sage.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Peter Junior Tshetu

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
License and Copyright Agreement
In submitting the manuscript to the journal, the authors certify that:
- They are authorized by their co-authors to enter into these arrangements.
- The work described has not been formally published before, except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, review, thesis, or overlay journal.
- That it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere,
- That its publication has been approved by all the author(s) and by the responsible authorities – tacitly or explicitly – of the institutes where the work has been carried out.
- They secure the right to reproduce any material that has already been published or copyrighted elsewhere.
- They agree to the following license and copyright agreement.
Copyright
Authors who publish with JOURNAL OF PRAGMATICS RESEARCH agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY-SA 4.0) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.


